Thursday’s contest at George M. Holmes Convocation Center has the Troy Trojans (8-4, 1-0 Sun Belt) squaring off against the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-6, 0-1 Sun Belt) at 6:30 PM (on January 2). Our computer prediction projects a 70-67 victory for Troy, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against Appalachian State. The over/under has been set at 133.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. Appalachian State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Boone, North Carolina
• Venue: George M. Holmes Convocation Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 133.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Appalachian State +108

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Troy vs. Appalachian State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 70, Appalachian State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Appalachian State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Troy has a 7-3-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Appalachian State, who is 4-6-0 ATS. Both the Trojans and the Mountaineers are 5-5-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams score an average of 145.4 points per game, 11.9 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 75.4 points per game (196th in college basketball) while giving up 66.4 per outing (69th in college basketball). They have a +108 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by nine points per game.
• Troy prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.9 boards. It is pulling down 34.7 rebounds per game (95th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.8 per outing.
• Troy knocks down 6.4 three-pointers per game (307th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
• The Trojans average 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (238th in college basketball), and give up 82.7 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball).
• Troy has committed 15 turnovers per game (353rd in college basketball play) while forcing 14.6 (39th in college basketball).

Appalachian State Performance Insights

• The Mountaineers outscore opponents by five points per game (posting 70 points per game, 303rd in college basketball, and conceding 65 per outing, 41st in college basketball) and have a +60 scoring differential.
• The 34.8 rebounds per game Appalachian State accumulates rank 89th in the country, 3.5 more than the 31.3 its opponents collect.
• Appalachian State makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (187th in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (164th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 27.4% from beyond the arc.
• Appalachian State loses the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 12.1 (237th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

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