Friday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (4-2) against the Merrimack Warriors (1-6) at Trojan Arena should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-62 in favor of Troy, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 2:00 PM ET on November 29.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the spread, which is listed at 11.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 136.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Merrimack Game Info & Odds

• Date: Friday, November 29, 2024
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -11.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -599, Merrimack +420

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Troy vs. Merrimack Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 75, Merrimack 62

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Merrimack

• Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (136.5)

Troy has a 4-2-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Merrimack, who is 2-5-0 ATS. The Trojans are 3-3-0 and the Warriors are 3-4-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams put up 132.8 points per game combined, 3.7 less than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game with a +23 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) and give up 69.8 per contest (155th in college basketball).
• Troy ranks 222nd in the nation at 32.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
• Troy knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
• The Trojans rank 279th in college basketball with 90.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 107th in college basketball defensively with 85.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 16.3 per game (357th in college basketball action) while forcing 15 (47th in college basketball).

Merrimack Performance Insights

• The Warriors have been outscored by 11.0 points per game (posting 59.1 points per game, 356th in college basketball, while giving up 70.1 per outing, 159th in college basketball) and have a -77 scoring differential.
• Merrimack falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 12.6 boards. It grabs 27.7 rebounds per game (345th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 40.3.
• Merrimack connects on 4.9 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball), 3.1 fewer than its opponents.
• Merrimack wins the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.7 (111th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.1.

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